Andrei Vasilevskiy
Tampa Bay Lightning · G · Age 32
D
Goalie grade: performance-ranked
Overpaid by $1.2M a year
Cap hit vs expected
Cap hit $9.5M
Expected $8.3M
Production
| Season | GP | W | SV% | GAA |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2026-27 | 11 | 7 | .879 | 2.91 |
| 2025-26 | 58 | 39 | .912 | 2.31 |
Goaltending value (expected goals)
| Season | GSAx | GSAx/60 | Workload | HD shots | HD SV% |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2026-27 | -3.5 | -0.32 | 78.6% | 30 | 0.733 |
| 2025-26 | +26.6 | 0.47 | 70.7% | 195 | 0.856 |
GSAx per $1M of cap hit
-0.37 goals
GSAx (goals saved above expected) compares the goals a goalie allowed with the goals our shot model expected him to allow. It feeds the goalie performance score, which is blended over three seasons and ranked against the current goalie pay distribution. Goalie pay is hard to predict and a partial season is a small sample, so treat the grade as a market benchmark. High-danger shots are those with an expected-goal value of 0.20 or higher.
Contract
- Cap hit
- $9.5M
- Type
- RFA
- Term
- 8 years
- Years remaining
- 2
- Expiry
- 2028
- Clauses
- NMC, M-NTC (10)
- Source
- Link
Summary
With his current production carrying a $9.5M cap hit, Andrei Vasilevskiy costs more than the market says he should. The model sees a $8.3M player, which is why this RFA grades D.
Grade trend
Comparable contracts
- Casey DeSmith $1M A+ Goalie grade: performance-ranked
- Devin Cooley $1.4M A+ Goalie grade: performance-ranked
- Jet Greaves $5M A Goalie grade: performance-ranked
- Igor Shesterkin $11.5M F Goalie grade: performance-ranked
- Ilya Sorokin $8.3M C Goalie grade: performance-ranked