Erik Karlsson

Pittsburgh Penguins · D · Age 36

F Overpaid by $4M a year

Cap hit vs expected

Cap hit $11.5M

Expected $7.5M

Production

Season	GP	G	A	P	+/-	TOI/G
2026-27	15	3	13	16	-2	23:26
2025-26	75	15	51	66	+8	23:36

Contract

Cap hit: $11.5M
Type: UFA
Term: 8 years
Years remaining: 1
Expiry: 2027
Clauses: NMC
Source: Link

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Summary

With 16 points carrying a $11.5M cap hit, Erik Karlsson costs more than the market says he should. The model sees a $7.5M player, which is why this UFA grades F.

Grade trend

Comparable contracts

Bowen Byram $6.3M B
Mattias Samuelsson $4.3M A
Noah Dobson $9.5M D
Vladislav Gavrikov $7M C
K'Andre Miller $7.5M C