Jake Oettinger
Dallas Stars · G · Age 27
D
Goalie grade: performance-ranked
Overpaid by $2M a year
Cap hit vs expected
Cap hit $8.3M
Expected $6.3M
Production
| Season | GP | W | SV% | GAA |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2026-27 | 12 | 8 | .909 | 1.91 |
| 2025-26 | 54 | 35 | .899 | 2.59 |
Goaltending value (expected goals)
| Season | GSAx | GSAx/60 | Workload | HD shots | HD SV% |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2026-27 | +6.4 | 0.53 | 80.0% | 36 | 0.806 |
| 2025-26 | +5.2 | 0.10 | 65.8% | 168 | 0.780 |
GSAx per $1M of cap hit
+0.77 goals
GSAx (goals saved above expected) compares the goals a goalie allowed with the goals our shot model expected him to allow. It feeds the goalie performance score, which is blended over three seasons and ranked against the current goalie pay distribution. Goalie pay is hard to predict and a partial season is a small sample, so treat the grade as a market benchmark. High-danger shots are those with an expected-goal value of 0.20 or higher.
Contract
- Cap hit
- $8.3M
- Type
- RFA
- Term
- 8 years
- Years remaining
- 6
- Expiry
- 2032
- Source
- Link
Summary
Playing G for the Dallas Stars, Jake Oettinger is paid $8.3M while the market model values him at $6.3M. That premium puts this contract at D.
Grade trend
Comparable contracts
- Connor Hellebuyck $8.5M D Goalie grade: performance-ranked
- Jakub Dobes $965K A+ Goalie grade: performance-ranked
- Mackenzie Blackwood $5.3M B Goalie grade: performance-ranked
- Scott Wedgewood $2.5M A Goalie grade: performance-ranked
- Jake Allen $1.8M A Goalie grade: performance-ranked