John Gibson
Detroit Red Wings · G · Age 33
F
Goalie grade: performance-ranked
Overpaid by $3.1M a year
Cap hit vs expected
Cap hit $6.4M
Expected $3.3M
Production
| Season | GP | W | SV% | GAA |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2026-27 | 11 | 4 | .860 | 3.46 |
| 2025-26 | 57 | 29 | .901 | 2.72 |
Goaltending value (expected goals)
| Season | GSAx | GSAx/60 | Workload | HD shots | HD SV% |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2026-27 | -7.6 | -0.80 | 68.8% | 34 | 0.676 |
| 2025-26 | +8.7 | 0.16 | 69.5% | 175 | 0.766 |
GSAx per $1M of cap hit
-1.19 goals
GSAx (goals saved above expected) compares the goals a goalie allowed with the goals our shot model expected him to allow. It feeds the goalie performance score, which is blended over three seasons and ranked against the current goalie pay distribution. Goalie pay is hard to predict and a partial season is a small sample, so treat the grade as a market benchmark. High-danger shots are those with an expected-goal value of 0.20 or higher.
Contract
- Cap hit
- $6.4M
- Type
- RFA
- Term
- 8 years
- Years remaining
- 1
- Expiry
- 2027
- Clauses
- M-NTC, M-NTC (10)
- Source
- Link
Summary
Playing G for the Detroit Red Wings, John Gibson is paid $6.4M while the market model values him at $3.3M. That premium puts this contract at F.
Grade trend
Comparable contracts
- Alex Nedeljkovic $3M C Goalie grade: performance-ranked
- Brandon Bussi $1.9M B Goalie grade: performance-ranked
- Dustin Wolf $7.5M F Goalie grade: performance-ranked
- Joseph Woll $3.7M C Goalie grade: performance-ranked
- Frederik Andersen $2.8M C Goalie grade: performance-ranked