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Lukas Dostal headshot

Lukas Dostal

Anaheim Ducks · G · Age 26

D Goalie grade: performance-ranked Overpaid by $1.2M a year

Cap hit vs expected

Cap hit $6.5M
Expected $5.3M

Production

Season GP W SV% GAA
2026-27 9 4 .872 3.56
2025-26 56 30 .888 3.10

Goaltending value (expected goals)

Season GSAx GSAx/60 Workload HD shots HD SV%
2026-27 -1.0 -0.11 60.0% 36 0.806
2025-26 +7.0 0.13 67.1% 222 0.766

GSAx per $1M of cap hit

-0.15 goals

GSAx (goals saved above expected) compares the goals a goalie allowed with the goals our shot model expected him to allow. It feeds the goalie performance score, which is blended over three seasons and ranked against the current goalie pay distribution. Goalie pay is hard to predict and a partial season is a small sample, so treat the grade as a market benchmark. High-danger shots are those with an expected-goal value of 0.20 or higher.

Contract

Cap hit
$6.5M
Type
RFA
Term
5 years
Years remaining
4
Expiry
2030
Clauses
M-NTC (10)
Source
Link
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Summary

With his current production carrying a $6.5M cap hit, Lukas Dostal costs more than the market says he should. The model sees a $5.3M player, which is why this RFA grades D.

Grade trend

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